Week 6 Picks

Last Week:

Free Money

North Carolina is angry, and beats East Carolina by more than 6.5. WIN

Solid Bets

Wake Forest beats Boston College by more than 2.5 (Boston College’s problem used to be that the defense was so much better than the offense. Well, they fixed that problem... the defense is no longer too good for the offense. But they didnt fix it the way they want to fix it.) WIN

Georgia Tech is favored by 11.5 in Raleigh. I’ll say that we will overcome the trap, we will not show up flat, and as such, we will take care of business by more than 11.5. LOSS

Duke over FIU. They will win outright, so obviously lose by less than 2.5. WIN

Nebraska loses to Wisconsin by less than 10.5. LOSS (ugly)

Florida at home, off a relatively easy game, loses by less than 3.5 to Bama, who is on the road, and won’t be able to get as “up” for this game as Florida, because they played a very big game last week as well. I think Bama is better, but its close enough that Florida’s situational advantage and home field will be enough. Somebody wins by a FG. Either way, Florida covers. LOSS (uglier - I blame the QB injury...)

Tossups

Texas A&M beats Arkansas by more than 2.5. LOSS

Idaho will lose by less than 17.5 to UVA. After losing outright at home to Southern Miss, I may not pick UVA to cover another spread this season. WIN

In a story that was not widely reported, a Temple fraternity played a prank on Maryland last week, kidnapping the football team, stealing their uniforms, and pretending to be the Terrapins. Unfortunately for Maryland, losing to Temple by 30 points was not so noteworthy as to make anybody suspicious that something was up, so nobody investigated. There is not actually a spread on the Maryland game this week, since they are playing FCS Towson, but I’ll make up my own, and say Towson is favored by only 3. I will assume that the Temple fraternity has released Maryland’s real team, and as such, I’ll take the Terps to cover that spread. Fear the Turtle!! NO BET

Against my better judgment, I am taking Clemson to do something good for the 3rd week in a row. But, I did leave myself a little breathing room. VT is favored by 6.5. So Clemson can cover, and still lose. And that is exactly what I think they will do. They are a much better team now that they have a real offensive scheme, but unfortunately, the defense is not there. And Tahj Boyd is a little like Jacory Harris. Great QB as long as the opposing secondary is not attacking the ball. Throws a very catchable ball, but unfortunately it very catchable for the other team as well. Auburn and FSU did not take advantage. I bet VT catches it a few times, and that will be enough to win a tight one. WIN

On the season so far:

Overall	19 for 40
Free Money	5 for 7
Solid bets	7 for 17
Tossups	7 for 16

This Week:

Free Money

Georgia Tech by more than 13.5 over Maryland. Feeling it this week.

Arkansas beats Auburn by more than 10.5 (am I crazy to put this as free money? I don’t think so. Auburn has no defense. Unlike South Carolina, Arkansas does have a good QB).

Solid Bets

Texas will lose by less than 9.5 to Oklahoma. They might win, but I like the Sooners in the game. Texas covers though.

Wake Forest is scrappy, but eventually FSU will win by more than 12.5.

Miami loses by less than 7.5 to Virginia Tech (I think the Canes may win outright)

LSU beats Florida by more than 13.5 (not falling for the Gator trap twice in a row)

Tossups

North Carolina will beat Louisville by more than 14.5

Clemson beats Boston College by more than 20.5 (gulp?)

NC State bounces back to beat Central Michigan by more than 13.5.